- Journal
- EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL
- Année
- 2010
- Volume
- 31
- Numéro
- 3
- Pages
- 290-297
- Mois
- FEB
- DOI
- 10.1093/eurheartj/ehp273
Abstract
Elevated C-reactive protein level is a risk marker in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACSs), but current risk score systems do not consider this factor. We studied the incremental predictive value of adding C-reactive protein to the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score. Characteristics, treatments and 30-day mortality were recorded for 1408/1901 consecutive ACS patients. Changes in global model fit, discrimination, calibration, and reclassification were evaluated upon addition of C-reactive protein to the GRACE risk score. High-C-reactive protein patients (C-reactive protein > 22 mg/L, 4th quartile of C-reactive protein) were older, had more comorbidities and worse haemodynamic conditions, received less recommended treatment, and had a four-fold higher 30 day mortality. Multivariable analysis demonstrated high-C-reactive protein as an important and independent predictor of mortality. Addition of high-C-reactive protein in the GRACE model modestly improved global fit, discriminatory capacity (c-statistic from 0.795 to 0.823), and calibration. Patients were divided into four groups according to GRACE risk score prediction: < 1, 1 to < 5, 5 to < 10, and >= 10%. The model with high-C-reactive protein allowed adequate reclassification in 12.2%. Elevated C-reactive protein level is a modest but independent predictive factor of 30-day mortality in ACS patients, even after adjustment for co-morbidities, haemodynamic conditions, and treatment. Combined with the GRACE risk score, C-reactive protein information improves risk classification.